Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.458705 1.655869 1.871801 2.126154 2.417974 2.742780 3.132359
2025-11-16 1.157134 1.413734 1.717588 2.105167 2.588167 3.172532 3.936590
2025-11-23 0.946504 1.228357 1.584333 2.069573 2.717901 3.559993 4.745938
2025-11-30 0.843139 1.153142 1.567322 2.165905 3.016712 4.194361 5.968256
2025-12-07 0.747812 1.070155 1.522334 2.210094 3.242367 4.754122 7.172627
2025-12-14 0.655080 0.975119 1.443578 2.188827 3.362595 5.170172 8.222660
2025-12-21 0.568494 0.876054 1.343452 2.117240 3.389497 5.439194 9.074149
2025-12-28 0.532522 0.848679 1.347012 2.204833 3.676237 6.155109 10.771005
2026-01-04 0.499155 0.820513 1.344413 2.279502 3.948067 6.879484 12.595634
2026-01-11 0.465063 0.786547 1.327201 2.325126 4.172530 7.548075 14.422474
2026-01-18 0.432988 0.751960 1.304169 2.355991 4.371781 8.194366 16.307822
2026-01-25 0.392255 0.697500 1.239815 2.302360 4.403249 8.523427 17.603995
2026-02-01 0.346013 0.629454 1.145803 2.185572 4.304907 8.600289 18.424196
2026-02-08 0.316873 0.590059 1.100688 2.158390 4.383203 9.049229 20.141952
2026-02-15 0.289617 0.551338 1.052603 2.119169 4.431062 9.441355 21.805390
2026-02-22 0.280371 0.546575 1.070005 2.216622 4.784629 10.553008 25.383608
2026-03-01 0.266300 0.530610 1.063056 2.261244 5.027465 11.452270 28.618283
2026-03-08 0.247200 0.502347 1.027700 2.239120 5.114205 11.998876 31.054876
2026-03-15 0.225484 0.466446 0.972512 2.165614 5.069414 12.219836 32.664658
2026-03-22 0.219436 0.463347 0.987463 2.255281 5.432637 13.516153 37.526876
2026-03-29 0.212611 0.457824 0.996401 2.331748 5.774170 14.813015 42.675850
2026-04-05 0.204012 0.447462 0.993287 2.378476 6.046107 15.969680 47.662930
2026-04-12 0.194988 0.435234 0.984566 2.410091 6.282735 17.068842 52.720657